Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Poehling 50.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 78.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 52.4%
Neutral zone
Acciari 55.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Acciari
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Acciari
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
52.6% (622)
+4.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
39.8% (103)
+8.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Acciari
Poehling
Home
54.5% (279)
53.2% (393)
Away
53.0% (319)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Acciari
Poehling
P1
56.9%
50.9%
P2
51.4%
56.2%
P3
53.2%
46.1%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |