Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.9%). Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 91.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Acciari
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Acciari
Monahan
Last 5: Acciari 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Acciari
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Acciari
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
57.1% (871)
-1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.1% (262)
-53.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
44.6% (139)
+7.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Acciari
Monahan
Home
55.2% (306)
55.3% (644)
Away
53.7% (268)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Acciari
Monahan
P1
55.5%
53.9%
P2
54.3%
55.3%
P3
54.1%
54.4%
OT
33.3%
76.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |