Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.0%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Acciari wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.3% vs Crosby 52.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 85.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Acciari
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Acciari
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Acciari
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
0
Acciari
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (532)
52.5% (1,443)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.7% (369)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
55.9% (34)
-7.1%
On power play, Acciari has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Acciari shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Acciari
Crosby
Home
56.2% (281)
53.0% (931)
Away
51.9% (345)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Acciari
Crosby
P1
53.4%
50.3%
P2
57.1%
55.4%
P3
51.4%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |