Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Acciari wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 48.2% vs Johnson 49.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 89.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 83.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Acciari
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Acciari
Johnson
Last 10: Acciari 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
5
Acciari
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
0
Acciari
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (557)
47.2% (286)
+4.0%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
61.8% (55)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (223)
33.3% (12)
+7.5%
On power play, Johnson has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Acciari shoots right. Johnson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Acciari
Johnson
Home
49.0% (392)
55.0% (151)
Away
47.0% (402)
44.6% (202)
By Period
Acciari
Johnson
P1
52.9%
42.3%
P2
44.7%
56.2%
P3
47.0%
47.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |