Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Johnson 45.7% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 93.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 75.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.2%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 93.4%
6.6%
93.4%
Acciari
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Acciari
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Acciari
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
44.6% (285)
+11.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
46.7% (60)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
16.7% (6)
+35.4%
On power play, Johnson has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Acciari is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Acciari shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Acciari
Johnson
Home
55.2% (306)
50.8% (179)
Away
53.7% (268)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Acciari
Johnson
P1
55.5%
41.3%
P2
54.3%
41.8%
P3
54.1%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |