Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 92.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 76.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Acciari
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Acciari
Karlsson
Last 8: Acciari 4-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Acciari
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
56.3% (739)
-0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.6% (181)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
47.2% (53)
+4.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Acciari
Karlsson
Home
55.2% (306)
56.5% (462)
Away
53.7% (268)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Acciari
Karlsson
P1
55.5%
57.1%
P2
54.3%
55.2%
P3
54.1%
56.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |