Alexander Kerfoot vs Nolan Patrick
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 55.0% vs Patrick 51.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 64.3%
Defensive zone
Patrick 74.5%
Neutral zone
Patrick 63.9%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Kerfoot
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kerfoot
Patrick
Last 6: Kerfoot 2-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Kerfoot
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Kerfoot
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (457)
50.8% (732)
+5.7%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
57.8% (45)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Kerfoot is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Kerfoot shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Patrick
Home
60.8% (237)
51.5% (388)
Away
51.6% (252)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Kerfoot
Patrick
P1
56.8%
53.7%
P2
50.9%
48.2%
P3
60.0%
52.5%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
56.0%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |