Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Nieves wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 42.2% vs Patrick 51.1% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 53.8%
Defensive zone
Patrick 54.3%
Neutral zone
Patrick 51.0%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Nieves
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nieves
Patrick
Last 7: Nieves 3-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nieves
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nieves
Patrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Nieves
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (220)
50.8% (732)
-11.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.8% (45)
-57.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On power play, Patrick has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Nieves is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Nieves shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Nieves
Patrick
Home
44.1% (118)
51.5% (388)
Away
33.0% (109)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Nieves
Patrick
P1
41.7%
53.7%
P2
35.4%
48.2%
P3
39.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
33.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
38.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |