Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Chytil wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 44.6% vs Patrick 52.1% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 51.6%
Defensive zone
Patrick 55.4%
Neutral zone
Patrick 54.5%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Chytil
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Chytil
Patrick
Last 10: Chytil 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
4
Chytil
Patrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
1
Chytil
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (290)
51.2% (371)
-7.8%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
62.2% (37)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
59.1% (22)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Chytil is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Chytil shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Chytil
Patrick
Home
38.5% (148)
48.5% (231)
Away
46.8% (156)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Chytil
Patrick
P1
37.5%
52.0%
P2
48.2%
52.3%
P3
42.6%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |