Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Cullen wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 50.0% vs Patrick 51.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 78.5%
Defensive zone
Cullen 74.7%
Neutral zone
Cullen 51.7%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Cullen
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cullen
Patrick
Last 5: Cullen 1-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Cullen
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Cullen
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (482)
50.8% (732)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.8% (45)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (153)
50.0% (2)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Cullen is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Cullen shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Cullen
Patrick
Home
53.4% (311)
51.5% (388)
Away
46.8% (329)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Cullen
Patrick
P1
51.1%
53.7%
P2
47.9%
48.2%
P3
51.8%
52.5%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |