Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Holland 45.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 84.9%
Defensive zone
Patrick 64.3%
Neutral zone
Patrick 74.0%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Patrick
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Patrick
Holland
Last 10: Patrick 7-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
1
Patrick
Holland
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Patrick
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
6
1
Patrick
Holland
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
45.6% (2,232)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
52.4% (126)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
42.3% (137)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Patrick shoots right. Holland is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Patrick
Holland
Home
49.7% (1,106)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Patrick
Holland
P1
52.9%
46.1%
P2
49.1%
47.3%
P3
51.3%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |