Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Patrick wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 48.9% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 67.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 86.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 86.9%
13.1%
86.9%
Patrick
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Patrick
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
0
Patrick
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (156)
52.3% (982)
-4.9%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
41.9% (43)
+14.4%
On power play, Patrick has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Patrick shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Patrick
Kuraly
Home
43.8% (96)
50.3% (680)
Away
53.9% (76)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Patrick
Kuraly
P1
44.4%
49.5%
P2
45.6%
49.6%
P3
56.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |