Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Blueger 50.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 88.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 75.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 51.4%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Patrick
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Patrick
Blueger
Last 10: Patrick 5-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Patrick
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
5
Patrick
Blueger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
6
2
Patrick
Blueger
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
52.3% (3,540)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
50.0% (76)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
42.6% (1,100)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Patrick shoots right. Blueger is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,516).
Home / Away
Patrick
Blueger
Home
49.7% (1,106)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Patrick
Blueger
P1
52.9%
49.2%
P2
49.1%
52.3%
P3
51.3%
48.5%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |