Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Patrick wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Zajac 54.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 76.2%
Defensive zone
Zajac 90.7%
Neutral zone
Zajac 86.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Patrick
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Patrick
Zajac
Last 10: Patrick 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
6
1
Patrick
Zajac
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
3
Patrick
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
7
4
Patrick
Zajac
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
54.4% (9,056)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
59.1% (1,498)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
48.6% (1,599)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Patrick shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Patrick
Zajac
Home
49.7% (1,106)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Patrick
Zajac
P1
52.9%
53.8%
P2
49.1%
55.6%
P3
51.3%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |