Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 84.7%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 80.9%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Kopitar
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Kapanen
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
2
Kopitar
Kapanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
47.5% (514)
+7.3%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
55.0% (40)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
39.5% (38)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kopitar is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Kopitar shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kapanen
Home
56.8% (533)
47.9% (307)
Away
55.5% (512)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Kopitar
Kapanen
P1
55.7%
42.7%
P2
57.0%
51.4%
P3
56.0%
48.4%
OT
52.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |