Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.9% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 51.2%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 51.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.0%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Domi
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Domi
Kapanen
Last 6: Domi 3-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
2
Domi
Kapanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Kapanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (254)
47.5% (514)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
55.0% (40)
+4.3%
On power play, Domi has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Domi is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Domi shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Domi
Kapanen
Home
50.0% (174)
47.9% (307)
Away
53.3% (107)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Domi
Kapanen
P1
45.7%
42.7%
P2
51.5%
51.4%
P3
57.3%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |