Scouting Report
Oliver Kapanen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kapanen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.8% vs Krebs 45.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Kapanen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kapanen 75.3%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 65.0%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Kapanen
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kapanen
Krebs
Last 10: Kapanen 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
4
1
Kapanen
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kapanen
Krebs
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (514)
44.6% (388)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
25.0% (4)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
45.0% (20)
-5.5%
On power play, Kapanen has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Kapanen shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Krebs
Home
47.9% (307)
46.8% (188)
Away
47.0% (285)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Kapanen
Krebs
P1
42.7%
47.2%
P2
51.4%
44.9%
P3
48.4%
41.1%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |