Scouting Report
Oliver Kapanen holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kapanen wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.5% vs Krebs 45.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Kapanen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kapanen 71.5%
Defensive zone
Krebs 58.9%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 59.3%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Kapanen
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kapanen
Krebs
Last 10: Kapanen 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
4
1
Kapanen
Krebs
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kapanen
Krebs
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (559)
46.0% (2,159)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
52.5% (99)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
38.6% (171)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Kapanen shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (885).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Krebs
Home
47.1% (340)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
47.1% (308)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Kapanen
Krebs
P1
42.7%
45.9%
P2
50.2%
46.4%
P3
48.2%
44.8%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |