Scouting Report
Oliver Kapanen holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.8% vs Wright 41.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 58.2%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 86.3%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 79.5%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Kapanen
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
Last 5: Kapanen 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (514)
39.5% (453)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
42.4% (59)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
0.0% (1)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Kapanen shoots right. Wright is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Wright
Home
47.9% (307)
39.5% (286)
Away
47.0% (285)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Kapanen
Wright
P1
42.7%
39.9%
P2
51.4%
37.1%
P3
48.4%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Shane Wright |