Scouting Report
Oliver Kapanen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.5% vs Wright 43.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 59.3%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 67.5%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 72.3%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Kapanen
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
Last 5: Kapanen 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
4
1
Kapanen
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (559)
42.6% (1,318)
+4.6%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
45.8% (131)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
33.3% (6)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Kapanen shoots right. Wright is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Wright
Home
47.1% (340)
44.2% (746)
Away
47.1% (308)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Kapanen
Wright
P1
42.7%
44.4%
P2
50.2%
40.7%
P3
48.2%
44.0%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Shane Wright |