Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Kapanen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.8% vs Crosby 55.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-2 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kapanen 88.3%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 85.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 84.8%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Kapanen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
15
(17 meetings)
2
15
Kapanen
Crosby
Last 10: Kapanen 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
8
Kapanen
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Kapanen
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Kapanen
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (514)
53.7% (984)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
64.7% (241)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
64.3% (14)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Kapanen shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Crosby
Home
47.9% (307)
56.9% (649)
Away
47.0% (285)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Kapanen
Crosby
P1
42.7%
55.8%
P2
51.4%
53.2%
P3
48.4%
58.7%
OT
25.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 01:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |