Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Kapanen wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 54.9%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 74.2%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 71.0%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Kapanen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kapanen
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Kapanen
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (45)
56.2% (1,451)
-11.8%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.4% (293)
-25.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Kapanen shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Crosby
Home
39.4% (33)
59.1% (939)
Away
47.8% (23)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Kapanen
Crosby
P1
42.9%
54.9%
P2
40.0%
60.8%
P3
47.1%
55.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |