Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 47.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.5% vs Connolly 47.3% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Connolly 50.7%
Defensive zone
Connolly 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 53.3%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kapanen
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (559)
47.4% (1,307)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
50.2% (251)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
41.9% (186)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Kapanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Kapanen shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Connolly
Home
47.1% (340)
48.5% (870)
Away
47.1% (308)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Kapanen
Connolly
P1
42.7%
47.4%
P2
50.2%
47.7%
P3
48.2%
47.0%
OT
25.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%