Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Jokinen 46.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 50.5%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 76.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 57.5%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Smith
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Jokinen
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Smith
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
46.8% (1,017)
-1.9%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
47.6% (185)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
40.7% (113)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Jokinen is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Smith
Jokinen
Home
46.1% (167)
47.1% (652)
Away
42.5% (226)
46.0% (681)
By Period
Smith
Jokinen
P1
42.1%
43.8%
P2
43.4%
49.5%
P3
47.0%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Craig Smith |