Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 86.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 78.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 54.4%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Jokinen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Jokinen
Gaustad
Last 10: Jokinen 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
6
2
Jokinen
Gaustad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
8
Jokinen
Gaustad
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
2
Jokinen
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
58.2% (4,334)
-12.4%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
65.4% (188)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
54.8% (1,290)
-11.9%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Gaustad
Home
47.4% (2,345)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Jokinen
Gaustad
P1
45.6%
58.2%
P2
47.5%
56.4%
P3
45.4%
58.3%
OT
56.1%
66.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |