Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 47.6% vs Umberger 50.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Umberger leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Umberger 52.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 62.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 51.1%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Jokinen
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Jokinen
Umberger
Last 10: Jokinen 5-5 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
1
Jokinen
Umberger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
2
4
Jokinen
Umberger
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Jokinen
Umberger
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (924)
48.6% (107)
-2.2%
Power Play
51.3% (197)
50.5% (97)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
64.3% (14)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Umberger has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Jokinen is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Jokinen shoots left. Umberger is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Umberger
Home
47.1% (537)
51.9% (104)
Away
47.6% (628)
49.1% (116)
By Period
Jokinen
Umberger
P1
45.3%
55.0%
P2
49.9%
45.2%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
OT
53.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.4%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |