Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Umberger 50.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Umberger leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Umberger 66.9%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 68.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 52.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Jokinen
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Jokinen
Umberger
Last 10: Jokinen 4-6 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
3
Jokinen
Umberger
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
3
5
Jokinen
Umberger
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
5
4
Jokinen
Umberger
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
50.9% (387)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
49.8% (251)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
46.6% (58)
-3.7%
On even strength, Umberger has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Umberger
Home
47.4% (2,345)
52.3% (365)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Jokinen
Umberger
P1
45.6%
50.0%
P2
47.5%
49.3%
P3
45.4%
50.0%
OT
56.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |