Scouting Report
R.J. Umberger holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Umberger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.8% vs Umberger 49.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 66.8%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 73.7%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 54.0%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Jokinen
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jokinen
Umberger
Last 6: Jokinen 3-3 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
2
Jokinen
Umberger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Umberger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
0
Jokinen
Umberger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,017)
50.6% (164)
-3.8%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
49.1% (114)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
40.0% (25)
+0.7%
On even strength, Umberger has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Jokinen shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Umberger
Home
47.1% (652)
48.8% (166)
Away
46.0% (681)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Jokinen
Umberger
P1
43.8%
43.7%
P2
49.5%
52.6%
P3
44.6%
51.4%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |