Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 89.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 85.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 86.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 87.5%
12.5%
87.5%
Jokinen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Jokinen
Johansen
Last 10: Jokinen 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
2
Jokinen
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
1
Jokinen
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
1
Jokinen
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
56.2% (2,163)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
50.5% (978)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Jokinen shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Johansen
Home
47.4% (2,345)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Jokinen
Johansen
P1
45.6%
53.2%
P2
47.5%
53.9%
P3
45.4%
52.8%
OT
56.1%
58.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |