Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.8% vs Gagner 47.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 54.0%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 60.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 59.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Jokinen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Jokinen
Gagner
Last 10: Jokinen 2-8 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
4
Jokinen
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
5
Jokinen
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
6
5
Jokinen
Gagner
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,017)
47.6% (599)
-0.8%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
47.7% (86)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
60.0% (5)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jokinen is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Jokinen shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Gagner
Home
47.1% (652)
49.5% (331)
Away
46.0% (681)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Jokinen
Gagner
P1
43.8%
47.7%
P2
49.5%
43.9%
P3
44.6%
51.8%
OT
68.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |