Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.9%). Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings). Jokinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 28-27 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.2%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 57.6%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 52.0%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Jokinen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
27
(55 meetings)
28
27
Jokinen
Gagner
Last 10: Jokinen 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Jokinen
Gagner
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
6
10
Jokinen
Gagner
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
15
10
Jokinen
Gagner
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
45.4% (4,699)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
51.5% (928)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
35.0% (226)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Jokinen shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Gagner
Home
47.4% (2,345)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Jokinen
Gagner
P1
45.6%
44.6%
P2
47.5%
46.1%
P3
45.4%
47.3%
OT
56.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |