Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Sestito 46.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 63.6%
Defensive zone
Sestito 52.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 51.1%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Jokinen
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jokinen
Sestito
Last 5: Jokinen 3-2 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
1
Jokinen
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
45.7% (457)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
55.6% (9)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
34.2% (38)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Sestito
Home
47.4% (2,345)
48.0% (273)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Jokinen
Sestito
P1
45.6%
42.5%
P2
47.5%
42.1%
P3
45.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |