Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Jokinen wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.4% vs Novak 43.3% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 62.7%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 50.7%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Jokinen
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (3,924)
42.1% (1,539)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.8% (585)
51.9% (133)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (247)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Jokinen shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Novak
Home
47.4% (2,345)
45.3% (814)
Away
45.3% (2,443)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Jokinen
Novak
P1
45.6%
43.9%
P2
47.5%
42.8%
P3
45.4%
41.7%
OT
56.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%