Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 64.7%
Defensive zone
Finley 59.8%
Neutral zone
Finley 59.7%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Finley
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Sundqvist
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Finley
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
46.8% (301)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
80.0% (10)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
43.5% (85)
+14.2%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Finley is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Finley shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Finley
Sundqvist
Home
50.0% (162)
46.0% (189)
Away
46.2% (117)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Finley
Sundqvist
P1
53.2%
44.7%
P2
44.6%
47.6%
P3
49.0%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jack Finley |