Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 47.0%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.8%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 88.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 56.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Last 9: Schmaltz 7-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
46.8% (301)
-0.9%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
80.0% (10)
-33.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
43.5% (85)
+6.5%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schmaltz shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Home
44.7% (409)
46.0% (189)
Away
47.6% (391)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
P1
40.3%
44.7%
P2
47.6%
47.6%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |