Scouting Report
Oskar Sundqvist holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs Kelly 43.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 70.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 55.7%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 57.8%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Sundqvist
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sundqvist
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
44.8% (556)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
0.0% (2)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
36.8% (144)
+9.2%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Kelly
Home
45.5% (255)
44.8% (368)
Away
45.4% (317)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Sundqvist
Kelly
P1
40.9%
46.7%
P2
46.9%
48.0%
P3
48.4%
34.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |