Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 44.0%). Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Greene 44.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 52.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 52.0%
Neutral zone
Greene 53.7%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Sundqvist
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Sundqvist
Greene
Last 6: Sundqvist 5-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Sundqvist
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
0
Sundqvist
Greene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
2
0
Sundqvist
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
43.7% (524)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
47.5% (59)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
43.6% (149)
-2.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (946).
Sundqvist shoots right. Greene is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Greene
Home
44.2% (1,584)
47.4% (382)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Sundqvist
Greene
P1
42.8%
46.4%
P2
45.6%
38.9%
P3
43.7%
47.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |