Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 35.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 45.9% vs Johansen 55.1% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 52.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 85.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 74.1%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Sundqvist
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sundqvist
Johansen
Last 5: Sundqvist 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Sundqvist
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (296)
55.9% (1,157)
-10.3%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
56.5% (237)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.3% (67)
-6.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Sundqvist is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Sundqvist shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Johansen
Home
46.7% (184)
55.8% (733)
Away
41.7% (139)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Sundqvist
Johansen
P1
40.4%
53.5%
P2
47.4%
55.9%
P3
46.3%
57.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |