Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 43.1% vs Johansen 52.8% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 59.6%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 58.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 56.1%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Sundqvist
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Sundqvist
Johansen
Last 10: Sundqvist 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Sundqvist
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Sundqvist
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (492)
51.9% (597)
-10.6%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
57.9% (133)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
54.3% (81)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Sundqvist is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Sundqvist shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Johansen
Home
43.3% (275)
55.8% (387)
Away
40.8% (314)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Sundqvist
Johansen
P1
43.3%
50.0%
P2
41.8%
56.2%
P3
40.1%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |