Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 43.2% vs Seguin 53.6% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 72.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 73.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 76.9%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Sundqvist
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sundqvist
Seguin
Last 5: Sundqvist 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Sundqvist
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Sundqvist
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (509)
53.9% (996)
-10.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.4% (94)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
23.3% (30)
52.1% (165)
-28.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Sundqvist is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Sundqvist shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Seguin
Home
41.7% (252)
55.9% (633)
Away
42.2% (289)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Sundqvist
Seguin
P1
42.4%
55.8%
P2
43.8%
51.7%
P3
39.1%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
35.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |