Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 43.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 55.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Sundqvist
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Sundqvist
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Sundqvist
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (492)
56.9% (478)
-15.6%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
57.4% (54)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
51.3% (76)
-8.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Sundqvist is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Sundqvist shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Seguin
Home
43.3% (275)
57.4% (317)
Away
40.8% (314)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Sundqvist
Seguin
P1
43.3%
50.3%
P2
41.8%
60.4%
P3
40.1%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |