Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.2%). Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs Jost 47.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 64.4%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 81.1%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 58.8%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Sundqvist
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Sundqvist
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Sundqvist
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Sundqvist
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
45.7% (116)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
37.5% (8)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
50.0% (2)
-4.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Jost is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Jost
Home
45.5% (255)
39.7% (68)
Away
45.4% (317)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Sundqvist
Jost
P1
40.9%
40.5%
P2
46.9%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
47.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |