Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Kelly 43.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 96.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.0%
Neutral zone
Point 84.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Point
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Point
Kelly
Last 5: Point 5-0 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
44.8% (556)
+3.0%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
0.0% (2)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
36.8% (144)
+34.6%
On power play, Point has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Point
Kelly
Home
49.7% (471)
44.8% (368)
Away
47.2% (415)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Point
Kelly
P1
46.6%
46.7%
P2
51.7%
48.0%
P3
46.5%
34.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |