Scouting Report
Cole Schwindt holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwindt on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schwindt wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 50.3% vs Kelly 43.9% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 95.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.1%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 74.3%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Schwindt
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schwindt
Kelly
Last 5: Schwindt 4-1 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
4
1
Schwindt
Kelly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (209)
44.8% (556)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
36.8% (144)
+34.6%
On power play, Schwindt has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Schwindt is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Schwindt shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Kelly
Home
47.2% (123)
44.8% (368)
Away
54.7% (95)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Schwindt
Kelly
P1
50.8%
46.7%
P2
51.2%
48.0%
P3
49.4%
34.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |