Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Kelly 43.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 93.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 57.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 78.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Ek
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Ek
Kelly
Last 7: Ek 7-0 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
0
Ek
Kelly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
44.8% (556)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
0.0% (2)
+53.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
36.8% (144)
-1.9%
On power play, Ek has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Ek
Kelly
Home
49.2% (331)
44.8% (368)
Away
45.7% (536)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Ek
Kelly
P1
38.7%
46.7%
P2
52.9%
48.0%
P3
48.8%
34.8%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |