Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Kelly 43.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 97.1%
Defensive zone
Kelly 53.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 80.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Scheifele
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Scheifele
Kelly
Last 10: Scheifele 7-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
9
1
Scheifele
Kelly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Scheifele
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Kelly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
44.8% (556)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
0.0% (2)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
36.8% (144)
+6.4%
On power play, Scheifele has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kelly
Home
50.0% (672)
44.8% (368)
Away
48.8% (596)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Scheifele
Kelly
P1
51.4%
46.7%
P2
45.1%
48.0%
P3
51.9%
34.8%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |