Scouting Report
Sergey Kalinin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Kalinin 43.0% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 65.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.1%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kelly
Kalinin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (722)
41.9% (453)
-0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
33.3% (18)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (170)
40.0% (25)
-3.5%
On power play, Kalinin has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Kelly shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kelly
Kalinin
Home
42.2% (457)
42.8% (285)
Away
38.6% (438)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Kelly
Kalinin
P1
41.5%
43.8%
P2
44.9%
40.6%
P3
35.1%
40.1%
Final 5 min
34.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%