Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Blueger 50.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 62.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 79.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 71.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Kelly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Kelly
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (722)
52.3% (3,403)
-10.7%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.7% (71)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (170)
42.9% (1,078)
-6.4%
On power play, Blueger has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Kelly shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,099).
Home / Away
Kelly
Blueger
Home
42.2% (457)
51.4% (2,299)
Away
38.6% (438)
48.6% (2,253)
By Period
Kelly
Blueger
P1
41.5%
49.2%
P2
44.9%
52.3%
P3
35.1%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
34.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Blueger
54.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |