Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 64.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 75.2%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 67.8%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Kelly
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kelly
Dellandrea
Last 7: Kelly 4-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
2
Kelly
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (756)
50.5% (1,108)
-8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
59.4% (32)
-59.4%
Penalty Kill
37.2% (172)
43.4% (318)
-6.2%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kelly shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Kelly
Dellandrea
Home
42.5% (475)
49.4% (741)
Away
39.3% (456)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Kelly
Dellandrea
P1
42.4%
49.7%
P2
44.7%
48.6%
P3
35.7%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |