Parker Kelly vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.6% vs Girgensons 45.8% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 62.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 69.2%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 50.1%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Kelly
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (157)
43.2% (146)
-6.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
44.8% (29)
+0.7%
On power play, Girgensons has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kelly shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Kelly
Girgensons
Home
35.9% (78)
40.3% (72)
Away
37.4% (91)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Kelly
Girgensons
P1
34.3%
43.8%
P2
36.0%
44.6%
P3
40.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
37.8%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%